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Monday, September 29, 2008
9/29/08 Obama more trusted than McCain on all major issues
Obama Gets Post-Debate Boost in Voter Trust on All Issues
Monday, September 29, 2008
Surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters
September 27-28, 2008
Issue Obama McCain
War on Iraq 46% 45%
Immigration 43% 40%
Environmental Issues 54% 37%
Balance Fed. Budget 47% 43%
Negotiate Trade Agreements 47% 43%
Taxes 48% 45%
Social Security 49% 41%
Healthcare 54% 38%
Education 53% 36%
Abortion 47% 42%
Capping off another day of good news for Obama, former Prez Bill Clinton today gave Obama a ringing endorsement, saying he will be shocked if Obama doesn't win. He also announced he will be hitting the campaign trail for Obama this week, starting in Florida where a Rasmussen poll released today showed the candidates were tied at 47% each.
9/29/08 McCain did phone it in and took credit - before the bill died
Speaking at a rally in
It’s truly amazing to watch this man and his wild swings with the “truth” – it’s getting impossible to separate McCain’s lies from the truth – the ease with which he denounces his own statements, sometimes made the same day, is truly astounding. The Audacity of Hope? Forget it, McCain is trumping that with the Audacity of his Lies.
In the same speech in
Except he did phone it in.
John McCain stayed in Washington last weekend, supposedly to keep working on the bailout legislation. But not on Capital Hill, however, preferring to work out of his campaign office
"He can effectively do what he needs to do by phone," said his senior adviser Mark Salter. 'Nuff said.
Sunday, September 28, 2008
9/28/08 McCain: lifelong gambler (literally!)
I wrote back on Sep 18 about what a joke it was that "John "Gambler" McCain vowed to take on Wall Street's "casino culture" after the
the NY Times today reports on McCain's close ties to the gambling world, about how he has done more than any other member of Congress to build America's casino landscape today, but most tellingly, about how he personally has gambled at least once a month for most of his adult life.
"A lifelong gambler, Mr. McCain takes risks, both on and off the craps table" the article says. This is why he took those gambles in his campaign already: choosing the Rove sleaze machine to run his campaign, picking Palin as his VP candidate, and last week, his desperate (and also failed) gamble to postpone the debate under the guise of "leadership" in the government's bailout of Wall Street. McCain has accepted more gambling money than any other member of Congress outside
Now, I ask you again, is this the kind of man we want to be our President? One who, when confronted with tough choices, decides on impulse to go with the Hail Mary pass and damn the consequences? Or do we want a President who keeps his cool even when things look grim, and continues to make rational decisions under pressure? I think the choice is clear, and is getting clearer every day.
Saturday, September 27, 2008
9/27/08 (just!) And the winner of Round 1 is.. Obama
and CBS , and also according to most pundits that I heard and read. What is perhaps surprising is the margin by which he won in the polls - 51% to 38% on CNN. I saw the debate too and I would have said Obama did better on the economy but McCain did hold his own on the security issues, so I'd have given a slight edge to Obama. The reason for the large margins are 2-fold:
1. This debate on foreign policy and security was supposed to be McCain's forte (although the first 36 minutes were on the financial crisis) and Obama held his own, and IMHO, scored points for focusing on Al-Queda and Afghanistan and the essential role of international cooperation in responding to a global threat.
2. Apparently more Democrats than Republicans were watching the debate (what a surprise!), so the poll numbers favor the Dems (41% to 27%). We'll see tomorrow if this was significant.
Personally (and I'm trying not be biased), I thought Obama came off as being more calm, rational and composed - one might say Presidential - whereas McCain seemed defensive, always looking down or at Lehrer, was arrogant and repetitive- and many times, did what he's done in the campaign - lied, even about Obama's own statements, with Obama standing right there - but never once did McCain look Obama in the eye the entire time. With this attitude, he speaks of reaching across the aisle and working with Democrats? What a joke. It's been clear that the only time any Republican, be it McCain or Bush, is interested in working with Democrats is when their house of cards falls down and they're looking for help to share the blame. Sorry, guys, not this time. Here's grading of various aspects of their performance at Time/CNN .
The most pleasant surprise of these polls for me was the huge leads among women and very surprisingly, among those 55 or older - heretofore solidly McCainLand. Most likely, this relates to the fact that they think, rightly, that their retirement money is safer with Obama. As Jon King pointed out on CNN, this is also the most reliable voting group - so that is a huge boost. Also was nice that 64% thought Obama was more likely to win the election.
But let's not get too carried away - Kerry also had pretty big "wins" in the 2004 debates, and look what happened . That might have been more due to vote and voter manipulation, who knows? But that is precisely why we need to carry this momentum and build up a much bigger, unshakeable and undeniable lead going into Election Day. So, folks (and Obama), don't take your foot off the pedal - there is more work to be done.
But for tonite, mmm... that victory is nearly as sweet as my ice wine (from Canada - according to McCain, one of the terrorist refuges we send oil money to). Sleep well, gentle folk.
Friday, September 26, 2008
9/26/08 From Picking Palin to Picking on Palin
Palin step down
But what the heck, it's still fun to pile on the pressure and watch her squirm. For today's episode, we have the clip where she rears her head and says "As Putin rears his head and comes into the air space of the United States of America, where do they go? It's Alaska. "
Anderson Cooper's double take is priceless.
Palin clips
Heck, while you're there, check out the other clips on this interview as well. It's fun, it's Friday.
More seriously, Carl Bernstein echoes exactly what I've said on this blog for the last month, that all these Palinproblems are entirely McCain's fault, she is who she is, and is probably a mighty fine governor of the state of Alaska, but in picking her for VP, he exercised a colossal misjudgement and threw away his hard-won legacy of an honest, straight-talking patriot.
The devolution of McCain
Looking back, I think maybe even the bigger mistake he made was in hiring the entire Bush campaign team (who basically burnt him at the stake in 2000) to run his campaign, including Karl Rove's protege Steve Schmidt, whose capacity for evil sleaze even gives his master pause. A decisive victory by Obama in this election would surely end these evilmongers' career once and for all, and perhaps return American elections to the democratic ideal the world once looked up to.
I'll drink to that tonite when I'm watching the debate.
9/26/08 Obama opens 5 pt lead in Virginia
Obama Takes Five-Point Lead in Virginia
48% Disagree with McCain, Think Debate Should Go On
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Obama 5o%, McCain 45%)
McCain Only Ahead By One Now in Florida
Obama Takes Four-Point Lead in Pennsylvania
Ohio Now a Toss-up
And over at Pollster.com, we see that Obama has pulled to within 1 pt in Montana, and is ahead in MI (3%), NH (2%) and North Carolina (2%)! These are within MOI, sure, but the trend lines are consistent.
MO: McCain 47, Obama 46 (R2K-9/22-24); StrategicVision: MI, NH (9/22-24);Rasmussen: NC, MA (9/23)
Desperate times for McCain. I wonder what desperate measures we'll see next.


Thursday, September 25, 2008
9/25/08 McCain showboating serves no purpose
Boy, this sure was an action-packed day in the political world. It's
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/26/us/politics/26campaign.htm
And we learn late tonite that all the talks collapsed and there was no deal on the bailout anyway.
So let's summarize - all McCain has achieved so far is:
1. Duck out of his debate and try to make a case for Palin to duck out of hers
2. Earn David Letterman's wrath by ducking out of his show claiming to be flying to
3. Confirm his image as a desperate gambler unfit for Presidency in the minds of the American public, as shown by the hundred thousand or so people who voted on a CNN poll that showed 70% of them thought his move was nothing but a political ploy.
As for his holier-than-thou attitude in "suspending" his Presidential campaign to be at Bush's side in the bailout battle, I say "more lies". What "suspension"? AP & the Huff Post report his ads continued to run, his aides were out peddling their wares on MSNBC, his campaigners were going door-to-door in 15 states, and of course Student Sarah was continuing her education by making a highly visible pilgrimage to Ground Zero. I say again "What suspension? Nothing but more lies".
UPDATE: Apparently McCain has backed off and conceded victory (?!) by agreeing to debate after all, further strengthening my suspicions that it was all a ploy to draw attention away from his floundering running mate!
I also came across what would be a particularly nasty little trick being played by the McCain campaign - if true. http://www.ickypeople.com/2008/09/mccain-sends-out-fake-absentee-ballots.html
It's claimed that the McCain campaign has sent out millions of fake absentee ballots to registered Democratic voters in battleground states, each of which contains the wrong return address or other errors designed to disqualify the vote. So far, I haven't been able to confirm this, and no major media outlet is carrying this, nor is it on Factcheck.org. I'll hold judgement on this for now - but truth be told I am hoping that that the Dems and Obama doing all they can to prevent having the election stolen by these sleazy tactics thrice in a row. Some whispers I've heard about voting machines not being ready in places like
Finally an interesting op-ed from the NY Times today by Roger Cohen examining America's fascination with exceptionalism (what he calls "Palinism" but could be just as well be "McCainism", or what I might call "isolationalism") and how it's not appropriate in today's world.
9/25/08: The real reason behind McCain's gamble
Everybody’s wondering why McCain dropped his bombshell trying to squirm out of Friday’s debate. It was a desperate gamble to deflect attention away from Palin’s bumbling interview with Katie Couric on CBS Evening News at
Katie Couric talks to Sarah Palin
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=73Yx-RhHb4g
http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/entertainment/zontv/2008/09/couric_letterman_too_much_for.html
Now, wait for the next bombshell: McCain will demand cancellation of the VP debate and air his debate then instead. He made the biggest mistake of his life picking this inexperienced bumbler for a VP, and now his campaign is reduced to playing keep-away with the media and the American people. Well it’s not going to work.
If you want to see what a real VP candidate looks like when talking to the press and answering difficult questions (without Cliff notes), see:
Joe Biden on Meet the Press
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6JRiWazVoNQ&feature=related
Joe Biden on the Today Show Sept 16
9/24/08 McCain is chickening out on the debate
McCain is chickening out on the debate. Plain and simple. He is unprepared and afraid. First it was Palin being cosseted and now he's running away from facing the public too. I was really looking forward to these debates - pretty much our only chance to see them unscripted before the election. No doubt there will be an "emergency" in
McCain has said he’d rather lose the election than lose the war. Now it seems he’d rather lose his integrity than lose the election. So children, what have we learnt about this man? Here’s what he cares about the most in order: the war > the election > his integrity. And somewhere down there, the American public who have to decide between these candidates in 40 days and are desperate to see them addressing their issues. McCain is not so needed in the Senate that he can't spare 90 minutes for a debate that Americans have been looking forward to for weeks. This man hasn't voted in the Senate since April, and 2 days before his biggest show, he gets a crisis of conscience and decides he'll go to work? The Congress doesn't need you now, McCain , but millions of Americans do. Don't be a chicken, show yourself.
He added: “Part of the president’s job is to deal with more than one thing at once. In my mind it’s more important than ever.”
9/24/08 More lies from McPain about Rick Davis
McCain Aide’s Firm Was Paid by Freddie Mac
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/24/us/politics/w24davis.html?em
Published:
Mr. Davis’s firm received the payments from the company, Freddie Mac, until it was taken over by the government this month. No one at Davis & Manafort other than Mr. Davis was involved in efforts on Freddie Mac’s behalf, the people familiar with the arrangement said.
9/23/08 Run, Palin, Run!! The downside of photo ops
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/23/media-presses-mccain-campaign-for-access-to-palin-meeting/
I’m pretty disgusted that it’s been 4 weeks since Sarah McPain’s nomination and just over to a month to the elections and she hasn’t even given a press conference - let alone answer any questions when she recaps her lies day after day. I think it’s pretty powerful when even staid TIME magazine openly calls them liars.
> John McCain and the Lying Game*
http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1842030,00.html
This is their vision of the democratic process.. muzzle the press and feed that people what we want them to hear. Did someone say
9/22/08 Palin blessed by witching pastor
This is just too funny! Or it would be if this man wasn’t such a crazy fanatic. This might be our President one day??!! Scary scary scary….
Palin says Thomas Muthee made her governor of
Palin’s credibility is once again being questioned after an African pastor she credits with helping her political career was revealed to have waged a witch-hunt against a woman who was said to cause car crashes with her "demonic spells."
In June, Palin told how a visiting pastor from
She told other members of the Assembly of God church in her home town of
After what the 44-year-old described as his "awesome" prayer she went on to become
9/22/08 It’s handout time in Washington!
“So what about me?” say his other rich buddies. Just watch for the automakers, shipping companies, pharmaceuticals, airlines, health insurers etc to line up for their share. And who’s paying for all this? Why, you and me, of course – the poor, suffering American taxpayers. They just run up the tab (the deficit) and leave us to pay. Under Bush, the national debt has rocketed from 5.5 trillion to 9.8 trillion dollars. The largest previous increase was under – you guessed it – Reagan/Bush, when it went from 1 trillion to 4 trillion dollars (2-5.5 trillion in 2007 $). The interest on our $9 trillion national debt alone runs close to $300 billion (2007), or more than the entire GDPs of Thailand,
1. R. Reagan 2. G.H. Bush 3. G. Ford 4. G.W. Bush. I think this plot says it all the best.
This plot from the Heritage Foundation, a Republican think tank. Remember, this is from December 2006, when the debt was “only” 7 trillion dollars. A more recent view of the deficit can be found at http://www.cbpp.org/pubs/fedbud.htm
The National Debt is now projected at11.2 trillion dollars, and looks like getting a lot worse. Basically, every Republican President after Reagan has enormously increased the debt. This is where your “tax cuts” are coming from. McCain is going to be no different, since this has become the Republican strategy.
BTW I didn’t make up these numbers – they’re from the President’s office. http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy07/pdf/hist.pdf
And this article puts it in perspective – how it’s going to affect your family and your money.
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/blogs/sfgate/detail?blogid=14&entry_id=13209
And just so you can get a comparison of how vast the amounts of money we’re talking about here are - it’s so easy to say a trillion here, a trillion there - a trillion is 1,000,000,000,000 dollars. That’s one heckuva lot of money – just see how it compares to GDPs of entire (not-so-small) countries – it’s about the size of
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)
9/21/08: Why I'm worried about the bailout
I found this great site with some of the easiest to understand charts of the economy I’ve seen – here’s one example of our national debt since WWII:
http://home.comcast.net/~andy_dunn/budget_main.html#national_defense
Notice how it stays steady for over 30 years after WWII, but then starts to shoot up after 1980? Not a coincidence, welcome, my friends, to Reaganomics – which has become the mantra of the Republican economic policy ever since. To summarize (yes, I’ll get hammered for this, but here goes): talk big about reducing government while at the same time putting in the biggest spending increases ever seen, and don’t forget to help all our wealthy friends in oil, defense and finance, meantime appeasing the American public with talk of tax cuts (mostly for the rich), which by the way, the people pay for anyway since we’re just going to add it to the national debt, which they don’t understand anyway!!
Since Reagan, the only time the debt flattened out or actually started to go down was under
There are many other excellent charts at this site that are well worth taking a gander at. Bottom line is, our economic crisis is not due to a lack in productivity- au contraire, the
Here’s a clearer picture of this:
I also looked into who owns the National Debt – who are we actually paying all the interest to? Turns out that a big chunk is to our Federal Reserve Bank, which contrary to popular thinking, is not an arm of the Bush Administration, although it sure seems that way now.
http://www.optimist123.com/optimist/2007/08/an-800-billion-.html
Foreign ownership of
9/20/08 Trillion dollar bailout on Wall Street!
http://blog.mises.org/archives/author/j_henderson_1/
The Wall Street Journal editorial page's Stephen Moore supports the trillion dollar bailout of investment banks. Stephen is the alleged champion of free markets and was formerly with Club For Growth and was a federal budget policy director at the Cato Institute. His reasoning? Taxpayers must be made to subsidize an industry to avoid a "meltdown." Wrong! The meltdown, caused by the deflation of a Fed-created bubble, cannot be avoided. The bailout is merely transferring the costs to taxpayers.
Giving $700 billion (minimum) WITHOUT any oversight or ANY review to the man (Treasury secretary Henry Paulson) who got us into this mess in the first place? Especially to a man whose personal fortune of >$500 million dollars is tied up in exactly these same financial stocks?
http://www.visi.com/juan/congress/
9/18/08: McCain is always McSame
McCain really is McSame. Most Americans now agree - 68% of Americans think McCain will continue Bush's policies, with a full 22% believing he will actually extend them (CBS poll). He can't just shake 26 years of voting with your party and 90% voting with Bush overnight. It's very clear that right now he'll say anything, do anything to win this election. Just in the last couple weeks, McSame has said he is:
a fiscal conservative, a populist, a moderate, a reformer, an experienced
Just this week he has flip-flopped so many times:
"The economy is sound. The economy is in crisis. I'm for a bailout. I am against a bailout. I am against regulation. I am for regulation." McSame's positions on the economy are as volatile as the stock market. But Americans just aren't buying this anymore.
Goodbye McSame and whatshername.
In March, McCain told The Wall Street Journal: “I'm always for less regulation.”
Yesterday, McCain complained on CNN about regulators who were “asleep at the switch for the last couple of years.”
Here's another joke: John "Gambler" McCain vowed to take on Wall Street's "casino culture" after the
Obama plans to pound McCain for the fourth day in a row for his clumsy assertion that “the fundamentals of our economy are strong.”
Obama will link the two issues by arguing, “He didn’t understand it then, and he doesn’t understand it now.”
White House press secretary Dana Perino declined to repeat the “fundamentals are strong” characterization on Wednesday, saying there is “a mixed picture.”
So expect to hear Obama say that McCain is the last person to think that – that not even President Bush is arguing the fundamentals of the economy are strong.
9/17/08: Blame McCain for Palin
Now that Palin's lies, abuse of power, ignorance and hypocrisy have been revealed on national TV, the focus should return the to real issue: McCain picked her as his running mate.
http://www.squidoo.com/cheney_w_lipstick
The resemblance is deeper than the lipstick, as I mentioned before..she linked the "righteous war" in
9/16/08: Scary math
McCain/Palin = 4 more years of war
McCain/Palin = 4 more years of rich getting richer, poor getting poorer
McCain/Palin = 4 more years of economic crisis (have you seen how many investments banks are collapsing?)
McCain/Palin = 4 more years of jobless and homeless people
McCain/Palin = 4 more years of rise in crime (people have to eat)
Scariest of all:
McCain/Palin = 1 new right wing Supreme Court Justice, goodbye Roe v Wade, back to coathanger abortions in basements
McCain/Palin = 1 new right wing Supreme Court Justice, hello constitutional amendments
McCain/Palin = 1 new right wing Supreme Court Justice, goodbye USA as we know it.
9/15/08: Cheney II : The Sequel
On
Palin Channels Cheney's 9/11-Iraq Falsehoods
When everyone's attention was focusing on Alaska Governor Sarah Palin's less-than-reassuring interview about foreign policy with ABC News anchor Charlie Gibson, the Republican nominee for vice president was off delivering a speech in which she suggested a dramatically greater ignorance of recent history and international affairs than was on display in the interview...
http://news.yahoo.com/s/thenation/20080912/cm_thenation/1359848_1
To me the real issue is one of trust: I'm just tired to being lied to by my government. And from what I've seen, McCalin/Palin are just more of Bush/Cheney when it comes to the truth: they will say whatever is convenient, whether it's the truth or not. There have already been so many times McCain & Palin have "stretched" the truth, gone back on what they said, didn't know (even on matters they're supposed to be experts on - eg McCain on the so-called Iraq/Pakistan border or whether Al-Queda is Shiite or Sunni - see http://www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com/archives/15836.html for a list).
Yes, you can be compassionate and say he was just confused, but even then, is a confused, senile old man really who we want as the next President? I just want our next President to be honest with us: in Obama I trust.
9/15/08: Palin channels Cheney
What is scary is that Palin's willingness to go to war with Russia and drop bombs on Iran and Pakistan sound eeriely like Cheney - and together with McCain's frequent confusion on the Middle East (see http://www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com/archives/15836.html), McCain/Palin sounds scarily like the second coming of Bush/Cheney.
Palin Channels Cheney's 9/11-Iraq Falsehoods - Yahoo! News
http://news.yahoo.com/s/thenation/20080912/cm_thenation/1359848_1
9/13/08: Student Sarah flunks her first midterm
Democracy only works if people can talk to the candidates and know where they really stand. BTW, it's been more than a month since McCain gave a press conference. Straight Talk Express seems to have derailed, it's been more like TRASH
9/12/08: McCain's colossal mistake: Sarah Palin on 20/20
I just watched Gibson interview Sarah Palin on 20/20 today.
I'm frankly horrified.
I think McCain made a colossal mistake in picking this right wing fanatic for a VP. She is clueless, inexperienced, and it’s downright scary to think (given McCain’s age and health) that she could be President!!! She thinks being able to see
I'm no expert on the economy but it doesn't look like Palin knows anything either. All he's asking for is 3 things she would change from the Bush administration and after beating around the bush for a while and being patiently asked again, she says "Reduce taxes. Control spending. Reform the oversight on the agencies. " Oh right. And why is this "different" from Bush?? This is exactly what we've been getting from Bush for 8 years, and see where we are. She is so clueless. And when she has nothing to say, she goes on and on about the next level of bureaucracy. And the next level of bureaucracy. And the next level of bureaucracy.. please God, stop this madness and stupidity now.
CG: Why do you keep saying Obama will raise taxes?
Palin: I’m not a fan of Bill Clinton’s tax plan.
Hello, welcome to 2008. We were talking about Obama’s tax cuts for the middle class.
But Gibson lets it go, and stays with her.
CG: He (Clinton) created 22 million jobs, Bush 5 million.
Sarah: We have to create more jobs.
Great answer. How exactly? No idea.
She denied supporting the Bridge to Nowhere though she’s on record defending it. That’s just silly.
About the books, she denied banning any books or desiring to do so, but her own campaign's spokesman said she asked about it 3 times.
"Taylor Griffin, a spokesman for the McCain campaign, said Thursday that Palin asked the head librarian, Mary Ellen Emmons, on three occasions how she would react to attempts at banning books."
In the interview Palin said "In our town there was an issue of if a parent came in and asked for a book to be taken off the shelf". I wonder if the "parent" was her too?
I'm just tired of these evasions and lies – and this is her FIRST interview!!! Possibly her last, on this showing.
8/30/08: McCain: which world do you live in?
This is supposed be his forte, his raison d’etre, his “advantage” over Obama. But can we really trust him to deal with the rest of the world?
Just last month, talking about
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/14/mccain-references-non-exi_n_112650.html
He always seems confused about vital Middle-East issues where he's supposed to be an expert : see http://www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com/archives/15836.html
for a list. He doesn't seem to know (or care) about the difference between Sunnis & Shia and which one Al-Queda is - he has repeatedly talked about Al-Queda's (non-existent) training bases in Iran - a deeply Shia country - is this laying the foundation for bombing Iran when he's in power?
UPDATE: Video of McCain's mistakes on Iraq - I particularly like Lieberman pulling him aside to correct him on the "Iran training Al-Queda" (at 1:02)!!!
I'm also deeply worried about us getting into a war with Russia over Georgia about guess what - an oil pipeline - and I haven't heard him say anything contrary to Bush's posturing on this issue.
8/29/08: I was energized!!
Note to readers: This was the day I started posting on various news websites. From this date to
Ladies and Gentlemen: That was an amazing convention! Every day, I was treated to some amazing, moving, honest speeches, detailing a vision of the
TIME TO VOTE!!
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For complete polling site info and maps: Election Center
Take an ID! Check out all the misinfo spread by Repubs at "truth.voteforchange.com
What if something goes wrong?
Not on the voter list? Make sure you're at the right polling place, then demand a provisional ballot.
If you're voting on an electronic machine with a paper record, verify that the record is accurate.
Need legal help? Call 1-866-OUR-VOTE.
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And if you have some time, please sign up to volunteer:
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SO, please vote for change, sanity, unity and reason! Vote Obama/Biden 2008!
from a CO resident: This song is truly beautiful! I have been listening to news from around the world and it literally brings tears to my eyes when I think about that one man has the hope of so many people around the world. This is truly a historic moment for the nation as well as the world. You really can't help but to feel a part of something huge, much bigger than yourself when you cast your ONE vote.
Please listen:
This is a good listen as well:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lUighoBIx68
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yf19H_sHMro